The Jewish Vote



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How do American Jews really vote?

Is it worth it for politicians to stake out the most hawkish position on Israel and foreign policy in an attempt to win over Jewish voters? Are American Jews really basing their vote on Israel policy?

Don't believe the spin



Do American Jews really vote on Israel?

Did you know?

  • Check out POLITICO's story about the relevance of conservative "pro-Israel" groups who misunderstand the voting priorities of American Jews

  • Since exit polling began in 1972, Jewish voters have voted at an average rate of 70% for the Democratic presidential candidate. Looks like the far right's efforts to turn Israel into a partisan political football is at best misguided and at worst detrimental to the bipartisan consensus of support for Israel.
    Making Sense of the Jewish Vote, Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies, February 28, 2012

  • The story that the Jewish vote will swing based on the community's hawkish positions on Israel is a tired storyline. Just take the Republican Jewish Coalition’s Matt Brooks predictions: Brooks has suggested that “Jewish voters are increasing their support for the Republican Party,”[1] and “..the American Jewish community is troubled by what they know of Barack Obama, his views and his positions”[2] in large part because of Israel. Only Brooks made those comments in the 2004 and 2008 cycles when Democrats got 77 and 78 percent of the Jewish vote respectively.
    [1] Washington Times, September 8, 2003: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2003/sep/08/20030908-115635-7928r/?page=all
    [2] JTA, May 7, 2008: http://blogs.jta.org/politics/article/2008/05/07/999339/rjc-mccain-looking-good

  • The story of how the Jewish vote can make or break an election is fiction. In fact, in the swing states of FL and PA, it would require a change of 25% among Jewish voters to affect 1% of the electorate.
    Making Sense of the Jewish Vote, Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies, February 28, 2012

  • Polls consistently show that more than 80% of American Jews believe that the United States should play an active role in helping the parties to resolve the Arab-Israeli conflict.
    GBA Strategies, July 2011 https://s3.amazonaws.com/s3.jstreet.org/images/J_Street_July2011SurveyAnalysisMemo.pdf